Universitatea Craiova vs Argeş 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Argeş won with less than half the chances
Universitatea Craiova0–1
ArgeşOn these chances Universitatea Craiova would usually take 2.5 points and Argeş 0.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Universitatea Craiova.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Universitatea Craiova vs Argeş stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Universitatea Craiova had more than twice the shots on target
Universitatea Craiova
Argeş
4
Shots on target
1
5
Big chances
0
12
Corners
1
3
Yellow cards
3
79%
Possession
21%
Universitatea Craiova vs Argeş — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Universitatea Craiova to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Universitatea Craiova 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Argeş 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Universitatea Craiova vs Argeş 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Universitatea Craiova vs Argeş. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Universitatea Craiova0
Argeş1Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Universitatea Craiova0Argeş1Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 47% | 53% |
| 48% | 52% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
10.4%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score