1. Argeş vs Farul Constanța

Argeş vs SSC Farul 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
ArgeşArgeş

1–1

SSC FarulSSC Farul
1.1Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Argeş would usually take 1.6 points and SSC Farul 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Argeş.

Argeş −0.6 pts vs chancesSSC Farul −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Argeş vs SSC Farul stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Argeş

SSC Farul

4

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

0

3

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

1

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Argeş and SSC Farul ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Argeş win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Universitatea Craiova – SSC Farul prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Argeş vs SSC Farul — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Argeş to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Argeş Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Argeş 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

SSC Farul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SSC Farul 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Argeş vs SSC Farul 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Argeş vs SSC Farul. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ArgeşArgeş1
SSC FarulSSC Farul1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

143%
X29%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Argeş28%72%63%37%
SSC Farul38%62%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Argeş87%13%96%4%
SSC Farul91%9%97%3%

1st Half

129%
X48%
223%

1st Score

150%
X10%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

20%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

1-0

12.9%

0-0

9.9%

0-1

9.3%

2-1

8.9%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Universitatea Craiova – SSC Farul prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores