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UTA Arad vs Sepsi

UTA Arad vs Sepsi 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

UTA Arad

1–0

Sepsi

2.5Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances UTA Arad would usually take 2.3 points and Sepsi 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: UTA Arad.

UTA Arad +0.7 pts vs chancesSepsi −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

UTA Arad vs Sepsi stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

UTA Arad had more than twice the shots on target

UTA Arad

Sepsi

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

51%

Possession

49%

The match between UTA Arad and Sepsi ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a UTA Arad win with 50% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: UTA Arad – CFR Cluj prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

UTA Arad vs Sepsi — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UTA Arad to win

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

UTA Arad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UTA Arad 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Sepsi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sepsi 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

UTA Arad vs Sepsi 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for UTA Arad vs Sepsi. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Superliga - Romania

UTA Arad1

Sepsi0

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT

Superliga - Romania

UTA Arad1

Sepsi0

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

150%

X29%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%	69%	31%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	69%	31%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	58%	42%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	44%	56%	79%	21%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	58%	42%
	44%	56%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

134%

X47%

219%

1st Score

156%

X10%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

19%

X-1

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.8%

1-1

13.7%

0-0

10.1%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

9.2%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

5.5%

3-0

4.6%

2-2

4.2%

3-1

4.1%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

UTA Arad vs Sepsi — Recent Form

UTA Arad have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Sepsi have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

UTA Arad

Sepsi

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sepsi

3/5

UTA Arad

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Sepsi

3/5

UTA Arad

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sepsi

3/5

UTA Arad

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sepsi

3/5

UTA Arad

2/5

First Half Result

Sepsi

2/5

UTA Arad

1/5

Correct Score

Sepsi

1/5

UTA Arad

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: UTA Arad – CFR Cluj prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).