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Serbia vs Greece 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Serbia vs Greece — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Serbia to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Greece to win.
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Serbia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Greece 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Serbia vs Greece 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Serbia vs Greece. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Serbia1
Greece2Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Serbia1Greece2Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
 | 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-1
18%
X-X
17%
2-2
16%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Serbia vs Greece — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SerbiaGreeceBoth Teams to Score
SerbiaGreeceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SerbiaGreeceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SerbiaGreeceFirst Half Result
SerbiaGreeceCorrect Score
SerbiaGreece