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Austria vs Israel 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Austria vs Israel — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Austria to win
CorrectOur track record
In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Austria ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Austria 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Israel 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Austria vs Israel 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Austria vs Israel. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Austria3
Israel1Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Austria3Israel1Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14% | 86% | 39% | 61% |
 | 54% | 46% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 36% | 83% | 17% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
51%
X-1
20%
X-X
10%
2-2
6%
X-2
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Austria vs Israel — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AustriaIsraelBoth Teams to Score
AustriaIsraelOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AustriaIsraelOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AustriaIsraelFirst Half Result
AustriaIsraelCorrect Score
AustriaIsrael