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Italy vs Belgium 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Italy vs Belgium — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Italy to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Italy 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Italy 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Belgium 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Italy vs Belgium 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Italy vs Belgium. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Italy0
Belgium2Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Italy0Belgium2Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 55% | 45% |
 | 28% | 72% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
19%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Italy vs Belgium — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BelgiumItalyBoth Teams to Score
BelgiumItalyOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BelgiumItalyOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BelgiumItalyFirst Half Result
BelgiumItalyCorrect Score
BelgiumItaly