1. Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-4 Score & Prediction Review

UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 2)

The match between Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina ended 2-4. Our AI model predicted a Romania win at 59% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · UEFA Nations League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Romania to win

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Romania ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 48%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Romania Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Romania 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Romania 0–1 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bosnia and Herzegovina 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
RomaniaRomania2
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina4

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

159%
X23%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Romania18%82%46%54%
Bosnia and Herzegovina49%51%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Romania71%29%87%13%
Bosnia and Herzegovina95%5%99%1%

1st Half

148%
X36%
216%

1st Score

167%
X7%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

43%

X-1

20%

X-X

12%

2-2

8%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

11.7%

1-1

10.7%

2-0

9.9%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

7.1%

3-0

6.9%

0-1

5.9%

3-1

5.6%

1-2

4.8%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

RomaniaRomania
2/3
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
0/3

Both Teams to Score

RomaniaRomania
2/3
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

RomaniaRomania
2/3
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

RomaniaRomania
1/3
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
2/3

First Half Result

RomaniaRomania
0/3
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
1/3

Correct Score

RomaniaRomania
0/3
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
1/3
correct predictionwrong prediction

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