VPS vs SJK 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 15)

Fair result

VPS

1–0

SJK

1.6Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances VPS would usually take 1.7 points and SJK 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: VPS.

VPS +1.3 pts vs chancesSJK −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

VPS vs SJK stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

VPS had clearly more shots on target

VPS

SJK

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

51%

Possession

50%

The match between VPS and SJK ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a VPS win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VPS – Inter Turku prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

VPS vs SJK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS to win

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 932 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 37%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,004 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

VPS Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

SJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

VPS vs SJK 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for VPS vs SJK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

VPS1

SJK0

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

VPS1

SJK0

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

142%

X24%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%	46%	54%	72%	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	46%	54%	72%	28%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	50%	50%	75%	25%	89%	11%
	29%	71%	57%	43%	80%	20%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	50%	50%
	29%	71%	57%	43%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	89%	11%
	80%	20%	92%	8%

1st Half

137%

X36%

227%

1st Score

150%

X4%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

20%

X-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.9%

2-1

8.5%

2-2

7.7%

1-2

7.5%

1-0

6.1%

2-0

5.2%

0-1

5.0%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

4.2%

0-2

4.0%

1-3

3.9%

0-0

3.8%

2-3

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VPS – Inter Turku prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).