Home
Leagues
Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs Lahti

Mariehamn vs Lahti 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 16)

Fair result

Mariehamn

0–2

Lahti

0.8Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances Mariehamn would usually take 0.5 points and Lahti 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lahti.

Mariehamn −0.5 pts vs chancesLahti +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mariehamn vs Lahti stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lahti had more than twice the shots on target

Mariehamn

Lahti

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Mariehamn and Lahti ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Lahti win with 66% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Mariehamn vs Lahti — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti to win

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Mariehamn Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mariehamn 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Lahti Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mariehamn vs Lahti 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mariehamn vs Lahti. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Mariehamn0

Lahti2

Winner

2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-2 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Mariehamn0

Lahti2

Winner

2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-2 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

115%

X20%

266%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	51%	49%	81%	19%	95%	5%	99%	1%
	14%	86%	39%	61%	66%	34%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	51%	49%	81%	19%
	14%	86%	39%	61%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	95%	5%	99%	1%
	66%	34%	85%	15%

1st Half

115%

X41%

244%

1st Score

128%

X5%

267%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

39%

X-2

21%

X-X

13%

1-1

X-1

1-X

1-2

2-X

2-1

Correct Score

0-2

11.8%

0-1

11.2%

1-2

9.8%

1-1

9.0%

0-3

8.1%

1-3

6.9%

0-0

5.5%

1-0

4.7%

2-2

4.5%

2-1

3.7%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score