2. Leagues
  3. Veikkausliiga
  4. Inter Turku vs Gnistan

Inter Turku vs Gnistan 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Smash-and-grab

Gnistan won with fewer chances than Inter Turku

Inter TurkuInter Turku

1–2

GnistanGnistan
3.3Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Inter Turku would usually take 2.1 points and Gnistan 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Inter Turku.

Inter Turku −2.1 pts vs chancesGnistan +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Inter Turku vs Gnistan stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Inter Turku had more than twice the shots on target

Inter Turku

Gnistan

7

Shots on target

2

8

Big chances

3

4

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

0

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Inter Turku and Gnistan ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Inter Turku win at 69% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VPS – Inter Turku prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Inter Turku vs Gnistan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Inter Turku to win

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Inter Turku ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Inter Turku Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Inter Turku 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Gnistan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gnistan 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Inter Turku vs Gnistan 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Inter Turku vs Gnistan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Veikkausliiga - Finland
Inter TurkuInter Turku1
GnistanGnistan2

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

169%
X18%
213%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Inter Turku11%89%36%64%
Gnistan52%48%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Inter Turku64%36%83%17%
Gnistan95%5%99%1%

1st Half

151%
X34%
215%

1st Score

170%
X4%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

47%

X-1

19%

X-X

10%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

11.5%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

10.6%

1-1

8.8%

3-0

7.7%

3-1

6.9%

0-0

4.3%

2-2

4.1%

0-1

3.9%

1-2

3.9%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VPS – Inter Turku prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores