VPS vs TPS 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 20)

Fair result

VPS

1–3

TPS

1.2Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances VPS would usually take 1.0 points and TPS 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: VPS.

VPS −1.0 pts vs chancesTPS +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

VPS vs TPS stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

VPS

TPS

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between VPS and TPS ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a VPS win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: KuPS – VPS prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

VPS vs TPS — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS to win

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

VPS Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

TPS Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

TPS 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

VPS vs TPS 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for VPS vs TPS. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

VPS1

TPS3

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

VPS1

TPS3

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

157%

X22%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	52%	48%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	43%	57%	70%	30%	86%	14%
	41%	59%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	43%	57%
	41%	59%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	70%	30%	86%	14%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

143%

X38%

219%

1st Score

162%

X5%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.3%

1-1

9.8%

1-0

9.2%

2-0

8.1%

3-1

6.3%

2-2

5.7%

1-2

5.5%

3-0

5.4%

0-1

5.1%

0-0

4.9%

3-2

3.7%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: KuPS – VPS prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).