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Jaro vs Oulu 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
JaroJaro

0–1

OuluOulu
1.3Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Jaro would usually take 1.9 points and Oulu 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Oulu.

Jaro −1.9 pts vs chancesOulu +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jaro vs Oulu stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Jaro had more than twice the shots on target

Jaro

Oulu

6

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

0

7

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

3

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Jaro and Oulu ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Oulu win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oulu – VPS prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Jaro vs Oulu — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oulu to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oulu ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Jaro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaro 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Oulu Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oulu 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Oulu 0–1 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jaro vs Oulu 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jaro vs Oulu. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Veikkausliiga - Finland
JaroJaro0
OuluOulu1

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

127%
X24%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jaro34%66%66%34%
Oulu20%80%48%52%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jaro87%13%96%4%
Oulu73%27%90%10%

1st Half

124%
X38%
239%

1st Score

142%
X5%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-2

9.5%

0-1

7.9%

0-2

7.3%

2-1

6.8%

2-2

6.6%

1-3

6.1%

1-0

5.6%

0-0

4.8%

0-3

4.3%

2-3

4.1%

2-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oulu – VPS prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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