Jaro vs SJK 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 2)

Fair result

Jaro

1–1

SJK

1.0Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Jaro would usually take 1.5 points and SJK 1.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: SJK.

Jaro −0.5 pts vs chancesSJK −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jaro vs SJK stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Jaro

SJK

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Jaro and SJK ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an SJK win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Jaro vs SJK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK to win

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,719 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Jaro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaro 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

SJK Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: SJK 0–1 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jaro vs SJK 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jaro vs SJK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Jaro1

SJK1

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Jaro1

SJK1

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

121%

X22%

257%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	42%	58%	74%	26%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	17%	83%	44%	56%	71%	29%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	42%	58%	74%	26%
	17%	83%	44%	56%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	71%	29%	88%	12%

1st Half

120%

X38%

242%

1st Score

136%

X5%

259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

18%

X-X

13%

1-1

12%

X-1

1-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

10.3%

1-1

10.1%

0-1

9.7%

0-2

9.2%

1-3

6.5%

0-3

5.8%

2-2

5.5%

2-1

5.5%

1-0

5.2%

0-0

5.1%

2-3

3.7%

2-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score