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SJK vs Mariehamn

SJK vs Mariehamn 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result

SJK

2–1

Mariehamn

1.3Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances SJK would usually take 1.5 points and Mariehamn 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: SJK.

SJK +1.5 pts vs chancesMariehamn −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SJK vs Mariehamn stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

SJK

Mariehamn

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

60%

Possession

40%

The match between SJK and Mariehamn ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a SJK win with 57% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

SJK vs Mariehamn — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

SJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Mariehamn Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mariehamn 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SJK vs Mariehamn 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SJK vs Mariehamn. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

SJK2

Mariehamn1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

SJK2

Mariehamn1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

157%

X21%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%	51%	49%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%	68%	32%	86%	14%
	41%	59%	72%	28%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%
	41%	59%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	86%	14%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

141%

X39%

220%

1st Score

161%

X4%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.5%

1-1

9.7%

1-0

8.4%

2-0

8.4%

3-1

6.6%

2-2

5.9%

1-2

5.6%

3-0

5.5%

0-1

4.6%

0-0

4.1%

3-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

SJK vs Mariehamn — Recent Form

SJK have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Mariehamn have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

SJK

Mariehamn

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

SJK

1/5

Mariehamn

2/5

Both Teams to Score

SJK

2/5

Mariehamn

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

SJK

1/5

Mariehamn

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

SJK

5/5

Mariehamn

5/5

First Half Result

SJK

0/4

Mariehamn

2/4

Correct Score

SJK

1/5

Mariehamn

3/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction