HJK vs VPS 6-0 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 4)

Fair result

HJK

6–0

VPS

2.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances HJK would usually take 2.4 points and VPS 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: HJK.

HJK +0.6 pts vs chancesVPS −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

HJK vs VPS stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

HJK had more than twice the shots on target

HJK

VPS

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

45%

The match between HJK and VPS ended 6-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a HJK win with 53% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VPS – Inter Turku prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

HJK vs VPS — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK to win

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

HJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

VPS Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VPS 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

HJK vs VPS 6-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for HJK vs VPS. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

HJK6

VPS0

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

HJK6

VPS0

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

153%

X23%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%	54%	46%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	18%	82%	47%	53%	73%	27%	89%	11%
	38%	62%	70%	30%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	47%	53%
	38%	62%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	89%	11%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

145%

X35%

220%

1st Score

159%

X5%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

10.0%

1-0

9.0%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

6.5%

3-1

5.9%

2-2

5.9%

0-1

5.5%

3-0

5.2%

0-0

4.9%

3-2

3.8%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

HJK vs VPS — Recent Form

HJK have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. VPS have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

HJK

VPS

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

HJK

3/5

VPS

5/5

Both Teams to Score

HJK

2/5

VPS

0/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

HJK

3/5

VPS

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

HJK

2/5

VPS

4/5

First Half Result

HJK

2/5

VPS

3/5

Correct Score

HJK

1/5

VPS

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: VPS – Inter Turku prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).