Lahti vs TPS Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 5)

Wasteful

TPS are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: TPS 22% to winLahti 55%

Lahti vs TPS score prediction

Veikkausliiga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Lahti expected to create clearly more

2.4 goals in total, a little under the Veikkausliiga average of 2.6.

goals expected

Lahti1.4

TPS0.9

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Lahti vs TPS: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Lahti vs TPS — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti to win

Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,040 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Lahti vs TPS — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lahti vs TPS. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Lahti–

TPS–

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Lahti–

TPS–

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

162%

X21%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	57%	43%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%	69%	31%	87%	13%
	46%	54%	79%	21%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	46%	54%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	87%	13%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

151%

X33%

216%

1st Score

167%

X5%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

17%

X-X

12%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.9%

1-0

10.6%

1-1

10.3%

2-0

10.2%

3-0

6.9%

3-1

6.6%

0-0

5.3%

0-1

5.0%

2-2

4.7%

1-2

4.6%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lahti vs TPS: the stats that stand out

Veikkausliiga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

TPS: shot-shy and slow starters

Shot-shy

5/10

TPS failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 28%).

Slow starters

3/10

TPS scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Lahti vs TPS: attack vs defence

Veikkausliiga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Veikkausliiga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Lahti: weak attack, good defence (1.37 xG, 1.28 xGA a game)
TPS: good attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 1.44 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Lahti vs TPS form and luck check

Veikkausliiga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Veikkausliiga games

Both results in line with their chances

LahtiBookmakers: 55% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals
−0.8
TPSBookmakers: 22% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals
−3.0

Last 5 matches

Lahti

1st in table

TPS

3rd in table

Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Lahti 5th of 12 · TPS 8th of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Lahti vs TPS: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Veikkausliiga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Veikkausliiga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Lahti and TPS games less often than the Veikkausliiga average (51%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%

Lahti4 of 10

TPS4 of 10

BTTSleague 51%

Lahti5 of 10

TPS4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 175 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Lahti vs TPS corners, cards and goal times

Veikkausliiga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Both sides score late

Lahti

TPS

5.2

Corners won · league 5.1

5.4

5.0

Corners conceded · league 5.1

5.8

2.5

Cards · league 1.8

2.3

1.6

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

2.2

50%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

56%

40%

Goals after 75' · league 20%

33%

50%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

55%

30%

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

27%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

TPS

0/5

Lahti

2/5

Both Teams to Score

TPS

1/5

Lahti

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

TPS

1/5

Lahti

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

TPS

5/5

Lahti

4/5

First Half Result

TPS

2/4

Lahti

1/4

Correct Score

TPS

1/5

Lahti

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction