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Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
1–1
On these chances Al Quadisiya would usually take 1.4 points and Al Sadd 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd stats: how the match was played
AFC Champions League Elite
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Al Quadisiya had clearly more shots on target
Al Quadisiya
Al Sadd
3
Shots on target
2
0
Big chances
2
9
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
3
66%
Possession
35%
Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · AFC Champions League Elite
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Al Quadisiya to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,418 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Al Quadisiya 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Al Quadisiya 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,892 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Al Sadd 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 52% | 48% | |
| 33% | 67% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 89% | 11% | |
| 83% | 17% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
23%
X-1
13%
X-X
10%
X-2
10%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score