Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)

Fair result
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya

1–1

Al SaddAl Sadd
1.0Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Al Quadisiya would usually take 1.4 points and Al Sadd 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.

Al Quadisiya −0.4 pts vs chancesAl Sadd −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd stats: how the match was played

AFC Champions League Elite

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Quadisiya had clearly more shots on target

Al Quadisiya

Al Sadd

3

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

2

9

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

3

66%

Possession

35%

The match between Al Quadisiya and Al Sadd ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Al Quadisiya win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Sadd – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · AFC Champions League Elite

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,418 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 35%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Al Quadisiya Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Al Quadisiya 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,892 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

Al Sadd Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Sadd 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya1
Al SaddAl Sadd1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

144%
X23%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Quadisiya24%76%52%48%
Al Sadd33%67%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Quadisiya76%24%89%11%
Al Sadd83%17%93%7%

1st Half

135%
X34%
232%

1st Score

156%
X5%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

23%

X-1

13%

X-X

10%

X-2

10%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.6%

2-1

8.2%

1-0

7.8%

1-2

7.1%

2-0

6.3%

0-1

6.2%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.0%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

4.4%

3-2

3.6%

1-3

3.5%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Al Quadisiya vs Al Sadd — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
1/3
Al SaddAl Sadd
1/3

Both Teams to Score

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
3/3
Al SaddAl Sadd
1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
1/3
Al SaddAl Sadd
0/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
3/3
Al SaddAl Sadd
3/3

First Half Result

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
0/3
Al SaddAl Sadd
1/3

Correct Score

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
2/3
Al SaddAl Sadd
1/3
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Sadd – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

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