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Pakhtakor vs Al Nassr Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Pakhtakor vs Al Nassr — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · AFC Champions League Elite
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Al Nassr to win
Our track record
In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Al Nassr ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Pakhtakor vs Al Nassr — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Pakhtakor vs Al Nassr. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Pakhtakor–
Al Nassr–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Pakhtakor–Al Nassr–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 36% | 64% | 67% | 33% |
 | 20% | 80% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
1-1
16%
X-2
15%
X-X
13%
X-1
9%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al NassrPakhtakorBoth Teams to Score
Al NassrPakhtakorOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Al NassrPakhtakorOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Al NassrPakhtakorFirst Half Result
Al NassrPakhtakorCorrect Score
Al NassrPakhtakor