Fast starters
9/10Feyenoord scored first in 9 of their last 10 (league 48%).
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Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Fortuna Sittard are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Fortuna Sittard 5% to winFeyenoord 85%
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard score prediction
Eredivisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.8 goals expected
3.8 goals in total: more goals than a typical Eredivisie game (average 3.3).
goals expected
Feyenoord2.8
Fortuna Sittard0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Feyenoord to win
Our model 71%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 319 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,685 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 78%
Our track record
In 3,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 258 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Feyenoord ahead at half-time
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Feyenoord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Feyenoord 2+ goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Fortuna Sittard Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fortuna Sittard 0–1 goals
Our model 81%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 1,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Feyenoord–
Fortuna Sittard–Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Feyenoord–Fortuna Sittard–Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
170%
X17%
213%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 32% | 68% |
| 53% | 47% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 43% | 77% | 23% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
159%
X30%
211%
1st Score
176%
X4%
221%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
56%
X-1
18%
X-X
8%
1-X
4%
2-2
4%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
7.8%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: the stats that stand out
Eredivisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Feyenoord: fast starters, brick wall and banker as favourites
9/10Brick wall
5/10Feyenoord kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 19%).
Banker as favourites
8/10Feyenoord won 8 of 10 as favourites (league 51%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: attack vs defence
Eredivisie
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Feyenoord: good attack, good defence (2.59 xG, 1.06 xGA a game)
- Fortuna Sittard: weak attack, weak defence (0.99 xG, 1.99 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard form and luck check
Eredivisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie gamesFortuna Sittard are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- FeyenoordBookmakers: 85% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+1.2
- Fortuna SittardBookmakers: 5% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals+8.8
Last 5 matches
FeyenoordW
W
W
W
W
Fortuna SittardD
D
W
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Feyenoord 2nd of 18 · Fortuna Sittard 15th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eredivisie
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Feyenoord games less often than the Eredivisie average (65%), in Fortuna Sittard games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
Feyenoord7 of 10
Fortuna Sittard6 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Feyenoord5 of 10
Fortuna Sittard7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 309 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard corners, cards and goal times
Eredivisie
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameFortuna Sittard score early
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
7.0
Corners won · league 5.3
2.5
4.0
Corners conceded · league 5.3
7.8
1.1
Cards · league 1.6
1.5
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 1.6
1.6
52%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
56%
12%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
19%
30%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
32%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
32%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Feyenoord5/5
Fortuna Sittard1/5
Both Teams to Score
Feyenoord2/5
Fortuna Sittard4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Feyenoord4/5
Fortuna Sittard3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Feyenoord1/5
Fortuna Sittard2/5
First Half Result
Feyenoord5/5
Fortuna Sittard2/5
Correct Score
Feyenoord0/5
Fortuna Sittard0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction