1. SC Cambuur vs PSV

SC Cambuur vs PSV Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in SC Cambuur vs PSV

4.0goals expected · Eredivisie average 3.3

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 78%

SC Cambuur vs PSV score prediction

Eredivisie

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert4.0 goals expected

4.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Eredivisie game (average 3.3).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for SC Cambuur vs PSV: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

SC Cambuur vs PSV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PSV to win

Our model 56%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,806 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,756 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.0% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PSV ahead at half-time

Our model 44%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

SC Cambuur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Cambuur 0–1 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

PSV Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PSV 2+ goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

SC Cambuur vs PSV — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for SC Cambuur vs PSV. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

SC CambuurSC Cambuur–
PSVPSV–

Winner

2 56%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

123%
X21%
256%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SC Cambuur40%60%70%30%
PSV16%84%41%59%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SC Cambuur88%12%96%4%
PSV67%33%85%15%

1st Half

126%
X31%
244%

1st Score

137%
X4%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

1-1

15%

X-2

15%

X-X

9%

X-1

8%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

5%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

9.9%

1-1

8.7%

0-1

7.9%

0-2

7.9%

1-3

6.3%

2-2

6.1%

0-3

5.5%

2-1

5.4%

1-0

4.6%

2-3

4.0%

0-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

SC Cambuur vs PSV: the stats that stand out

Eredivisie

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

PSV: always on the scoresheet

Always on the scoresheet
PSV0/10

PSV scored in all of their last 10 (league 19% fail to score).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

SC Cambuur vs PSV: attack vs defence

Eredivisie

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • SC CambuurSC Cambuur: weak attack, weak defence (1.40 xG, 1.82 xGA a game)
  • PSVPSV: good attack, good defence (2.18 xG, 1.29 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

SC Cambuur vs PSV form and luck check

Eredivisie

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie games

Both results in line with their chances

  • SC Cambuur
    SC CambuurBookmakers: 11% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals
    +2.9
  • PSV
    PSVBookmakers: 73% to win today.
    −0.7

Last 5 matches

SC CambuurSC Cambuur
W
D
W
D
W
10th in table
PSVPSV
W
D
L
W
L
3rd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: SC Cambuur 11th of 18 · PSV 1st of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

SC Cambuur vs PSV: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Eredivisie

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in SC Cambuur and PSV games more often than the Eredivisie average (66%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
SC Cambuur8 of 10
PSV8 of 10
BTTSleague 66%
SC Cambuur7 of 10
PSV9 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 309 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

SC Cambuur vs PSV corners, cards and goal times

Eredivisie

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.3
  • Cards: league 1.6
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PSVPSV
2/5
SC CambuurSC Cambuur
2/5

Both Teams to Score

PSVPSV
3/5
SC CambuurSC Cambuur
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PSVPSV
3/5
SC CambuurSC Cambuur
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PSVPSV
2/5
SC CambuurSC Cambuur
3/5

First Half Result

PSVPSV
3/5
SC CambuurSC Cambuur
0/5

Correct Score

PSVPSV
0/5
SC CambuurSC Cambuur
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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