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SC Cambuur vs Excelsior

SC Cambuur vs Excelsior 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result

SC Cambuur

0–4

Excelsior

1.1Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances SC Cambuur would usually take 0.7 points and Excelsior 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Excelsior.

SC Cambuur −0.7 pts vs chancesExcelsior +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SC Cambuur vs Excelsior stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Excelsior had more than twice the shots on target

SC Cambuur

Excelsior

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

47%

Possession

53%

The match between SC Cambuur and Excelsior ended 0-4. Our AI model predicted a SC Cambuur win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SC Cambuur – AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

SC Cambuur vs Excelsior — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Cambuur to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Excelsior to win.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Cambuur ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

SC Cambuur Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Cambuur 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: SC Cambuur 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Excelsior Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Excelsior 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SC Cambuur vs Excelsior 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SC Cambuur vs Excelsior. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eredivisie - Netherlands

SC Cambuur0

Excelsior4

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Eredivisie - Netherlands

SC Cambuur0

Excelsior4

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

149%

X23%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	54%	46%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	49%	51%	75%	25%	90%	10%
	36%	64%	68%	32%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	49%	51%
	36%	64%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	90%	10%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

145%

X34%

221%

1st Score

159%

X5%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

15%

2-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

8.7%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

6.7%

0-1

6.1%

2-2

6.0%

3-1

5.5%

0-0

5.2%

3-0

4.4%

0-2

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SC Cambuur – AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).