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Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Fortuna Sittard3–1
SC CambuurOn these chances Fortuna Sittard would usually take 1.1 points and SC Cambuur 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Fortuna Sittard.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur stats: how the match was played
Eredivisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Fortuna Sittard
SC Cambuur
7
Shots on target
7
1
Big chances
4
6
Corners
7
0
Yellow cards
2
36%
Possession
64%
Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
SC Cambuur to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fortuna Sittard to win.
Our track record
In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 935 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fortuna Sittard ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Fortuna Sittard 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fortuna Sittard 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
SC Cambuur 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Fortuna Sittard3
SC Cambuur1Winner
X2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Fortuna Sittard3SC Cambuur1Winner
X2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 55% | 45% |
| 25% | 75% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
1-1
19%
X-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score