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SC Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen

0–2

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1.7Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances SC Heerenveen would usually take 1.2 points and PEC Zwolle 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: SC Heerenveen.

SC Heerenveen −1.2 pts vs chancesPEC Zwolle +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SC Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

PEC Zwolle had clearly more shots on target

SC Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle

5

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

3

5

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

2

64%

Possession

36%

The match between SC Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a SC Heerenveen win at 62% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

SC Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Heerenveen to win

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Heerenveen ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

SC Heerenveen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Heerenveen 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

PEC Zwolle Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PEC Zwolle 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SC Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SC Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen0
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle2

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

162%
X22%
216%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SC Heerenveen17%83%42%58%
PEC Zwolle53%47%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SC Heerenveen66%34%83%17%
PEC Zwolle93%7%98%2%

1st Half

146%
X36%
218%

1st Score

162%
X8%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

19%

X-X

11%

2-2

10%

X-2

6%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.5%

2-0

9.8%

2-1

8.7%

1-1

8.3%

0-0

7.7%

3-0

7.1%

3-1

5.5%

2-2

4.4%

0-1

4.3%

1-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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