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ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag

2–3

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
1.1Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances ADO Den Haag would usually take 1.5 points and Fortuna Sittard 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: ADO Den Haag.

ADO Den Haag −1.5 pts vs chancesFortuna Sittard +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Fortuna Sittard had clearly more shots on target

ADO Den Haag

Fortuna Sittard

3

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

1

2

Corners

0

0

Yellow cards

4

57%

Possession

43%

The match between ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a ADO Den Haag win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: NEC – Fortuna Sittard prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ADO Den Haag to win

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ADO Den Haag ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

ADO Den Haag Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ADO Den Haag 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Fortuna Sittard Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Sittard 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag2
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

155%
X21%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
ADO Den Haag17%83%42%58%
Fortuna Sittard41%59%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
ADO Den Haag67%33%83%17%
Fortuna Sittard88%12%96%4%

1st Half

149%
X35%
217%

1st Score

167%
X4%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

18%

X-X

11%

2-2

8%

X-2

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

9.3%

2-1

9.1%

2-0

7.4%

1-0

7.3%

3-1

6.0%

2-2

5.8%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

5.6%

0-1

4.8%

0-0

4.2%

3-2

3.5%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: NEC – Fortuna Sittard prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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