2. Leagues
  3. Eredivisie
  4. FC Twente vs Telstar

FC Twente vs Telstar 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
FC TwenteFC Twente

1–0

TelstarTelstar
2.3Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances FC Twente would usually take 2.6 points and Telstar 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Twente.

FC Twente +0.4 pts vs chancesTelstar −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Twente vs Telstar stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

FC Twente had more than twice the shots on target

FC Twente

Telstar

8

Shots on target

2

3

Big chances

1

9

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

3

63%

Possession

38%

The match between FC Twente and Telstar ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a FC Twente win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Twente – FC Utrecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

FC Twente vs Telstar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Twente to win

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Twente ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

FC Twente Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Twente 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Telstar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Telstar 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Twente vs Telstar 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Twente vs Telstar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
FC TwenteFC Twente1
TelstarTelstar0

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

161%
X19%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT46%54%70%30%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FC Twente14%86%37%63%
Telstar43%57%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FC Twente63%37%82%18%
Telstar90%10%97%3%

1st Half

152%
X33%
215%

1st Score

172%
X3%
225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

50%

X-1

18%

X-X

9%

2-2

6%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.2%

1-1

8.2%

1-0

7.7%

3-1

7.0%

3-0

6.1%

2-2

5.7%

1-2

5.0%

3-2

4.3%

0-1

4.0%

0-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Twente – FC Utrecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores