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FC Twente vs PSV 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
FC Twente3–2
PSVOn these chances FC Twente would usually take 1.8 points and PSV 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: PSV.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Twente vs PSV stats: how the match was played
Eredivisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
FC Twente
PSV
5
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
2
6
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
3
40%
Possession
60%
FC Twente vs PSV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
PSV to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
FC Twente ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: PSV ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Our model’s pick
FC Twente 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Twente 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
PSV 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: PSV 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Twente vs PSV 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Twente vs PSV. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Twente3
PSV2Winner
X2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
FC Twente3PSV2Winner
X2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 55% | 45% |
| 25% | 75% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
20%
X-1
15%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Twente vs PSV — Recent Form
FC Twente have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. PSV have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC TwentePSVOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC TwentePSVBoth Teams to Score
FC TwentePSVOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC TwentePSVOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC TwentePSVFirst Half Result
FC TwentePSVCorrect Score
FC TwentePSV