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Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
GwangjuGwangju

0–3

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
1.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Gwangju would usually take 1.2 points and Pohang Steelers 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Pohang Steelers.

Gwangju −1.2 pts vs chancesPohang Steelers +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pohang Steelers had clearly more shots on target

Gwangju

Pohang Steelers

2

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

4

7

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

3

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Gwangju and Pohang Steelers ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Pohang Steelers win with 54% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers to win

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Gwangju Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gwangju 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Pohang Steelers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
GwangjuGwangju0
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3

Winner

2 54%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

119%
X27%
254%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gwangju49%51%83%17%
Pohang Steelers23%77%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gwangju96%4%99%1%
Pohang Steelers82%18%94%6%

1st Half

117%
X47%
236%

1st Score

130%
X11%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

X-2

21%

X-X

19%

1-1

10%

X-1

8%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

15.9%

1-1

12.4%

0-2

11.5%

0-0

10.8%

1-2

9.1%

1-0

8.0%

0-3

5.3%

2-1

4.4%

1-3

4.3%

2-2

3.4%

2-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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