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  4. Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers

Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result
Jeju UnitedJeju United

2–1

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
0.9Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Jeju United would usually take 1.5 points and Pohang Steelers 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Pohang Steelers.

Jeju United +1.5 pts vs chancesPohang Steelers −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Jeju United

Pohang Steelers

2

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

4

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Jeju United and Pohang Steelers ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Pohang Steelers win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Incheon United – Jeju United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Jeju United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jeju United 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Pohang Steelers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
Jeju UnitedJeju United2
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

125%
X30%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%61%39%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jeju United41%59%77%23%
Pohang Steelers27%73%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jeju United93%7%98%2%
Pohang Steelers86%14%96%4%

1st Half

120%
X48%
232%

1st Score

134%
X11%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-X

20%

X-2

18%

1-1

12%

X-1

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

13.8%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

10.9%

1-0

9.1%

1-2

9.0%

0-2

8.8%

2-1

6.1%

2-2

4.5%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

3.7%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Incheon United – Jeju United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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