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Seoul vs Pohang Steelers 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
SeoulSeoul

3–1

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
1.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Seoul would usually take 1.9 points and Pohang Steelers 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Seoul.

Seoul +1.1 pts vs chancesPohang Steelers −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Seoul vs Pohang Steelers stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Seoul had more than twice the shots on target

Seoul

Pohang Steelers

8

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

2

7

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

1

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Seoul and Pohang Steelers ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Seoul win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Seoul – Gangwon prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Seoul vs Pohang Steelers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seoul to win

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Seoul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seoul 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Pohang Steelers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Seoul vs Pohang Steelers 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Seoul vs Pohang Steelers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
SeoulSeoul3
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

140%
X30%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Seoul30%70%66%34%
Pohang Steelers37%63%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Seoul88%12%97%3%
Pohang Steelers92%8%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X48%
224%

1st Score

147%
X11%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

21%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.1%

1-0

12.6%

0-0

10.7%

0-1

10.3%

2-1

8.5%

2-0

7.4%

1-2

6.9%

0-2

5.1%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

3.3%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Seoul – Gangwon prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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