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  4. Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju

Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 22)

Fair result
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 1995

0–0

GwangjuGwangju
1.2Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Bucheon 1995 would usually take 1.2 points and Gwangju 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Bucheon 1995.

Bucheon 1995 −0.1 pts vs chancesGwangju −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bucheon 1995 had more than twice the shots on target

Bucheon 1995

Gwangju

5

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

3

3

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

2

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Bucheon 1995 and Gwangju ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Bucheon 1995 win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bucheon 1995 to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Bucheon 1995 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bucheon 1995 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Gwangju Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gwangju 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 19950
GwangjuGwangju0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

147%
X27%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bucheon 199526%74%61%39%
Gwangju42%58%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bucheon 199585%15%95%5%
Gwangju94%6%98%2%

1st Half

131%
X49%
220%

1st Score

154%
X10%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

21%

X-1

18%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

14.3%

1-1

12.8%

0-0

10.0%

0-1

9.2%

2-1

9.2%

2-0

8.8%

1-2

5.9%

0-2

4.2%

2-2

4.2%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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