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Gwangju vs Jeju United 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 28)

Fair result
GwangjuGwangju

0–1

Jeju UnitedJeju United
1.1Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Gwangju would usually take 1.2 points and Jeju United 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Jeju United.

Gwangju −1.2 pts vs chancesJeju United +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gwangju vs Jeju United stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Gwangju

Jeju United

5

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

0

4

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

3

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Gwangju and Jeju United ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Jeju United win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Incheon United – Jeju United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Gwangju vs Jeju United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jeju United to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Gwangju Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gwangju 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Jeju United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jeju United 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gwangju vs Jeju United 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gwangju vs Jeju United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
GwangjuGwangju0
Jeju UnitedJeju United1

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

121%
X26%
253%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gwangju44%56%78%22%
Jeju United22%78%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gwangju94%6%99%1%
Jeju United78%22%92%8%

1st Half

118%
X45%
237%

1st Score

137%
X9%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

X-X

18%

X-2

16%

1-1

11%

X-1

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

12.1%

1-1

11.6%

1-2

9.9%

0-2

9.8%

0-0

8.8%

1-0

7.6%

0-3

5.6%

2-1

5.4%

1-3

4.9%

2-2

4.8%

2-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Incheon United – Jeju United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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