Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)
Deportivo La Coruña1–1
ElcheOn these chances Deportivo La Coruña would usually take 0.9 points and Elche 1.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo La Coruña.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Elche had more than twice the shots on target
Deportivo La Coruña
Elche
3
Shots on target
6
0
Big chances
2
2
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
2
39%
Possession
62%
Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Deportivo La Coruña to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Deportivo La Coruña 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Elche 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Deportivo La Coruña1
Elche1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Deportivo La Coruña1Elche1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score