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Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Real SociedadReal Sociedad

0–0

Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
1.5Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Real Sociedad would usually take 1.9 points and Celta de Vigo 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Sociedad.

Real Sociedad −0.9 pts vs chancesCelta de Vigo +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Sociedad had more than twice the shots on target

Real Sociedad

Celta de Vigo

5

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

11

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

3

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Real Sociedad and Celta de Vigo ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Real Sociedad win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Deportivo Alavés prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Sociedad to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Real Sociedad Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Sociedad 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Real Sociedad 2+ goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Celta de Vigo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celta de Vigo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
Real SociedadReal Sociedad0
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

145%
X28%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Sociedad27%73%61%39%
Celta de Vigo39%61%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Sociedad84%16%95%5%
Celta de Vigo92%8%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X45%
222%

1st Score

151%
X10%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

18%

X-1

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

12.4%

0-0

9.9%

0-1

9.0%

2-1

8.9%

2-0

8.2%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.7%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Deportivo Alavés prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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