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Málaga vs Levante 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
MálagaMálaga

0–0

LevanteLevante
1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Málaga would usually take 1.3 points and Levante 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Málaga.

Málaga −0.3 pts vs chancesLevante −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Málaga vs Levante stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Málaga

Levante

3

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

2

6

Corners

4

4

Yellow cards

2

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Málaga and Levante ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Málaga win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Málaga – Real Sociedad prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Málaga vs Levante — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Málaga to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Málaga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Málaga 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Levante Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Levante 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Málaga vs Levante 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Málaga vs Levante. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
MálagaMálaga0
LevanteLevante0

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

149%
X27%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Málaga22%78%53%47%
Levante40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Málaga79%21%92%8%
Levante92%8%98%2%

1st Half

136%
X45%
219%

1st Score

154%
X8%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

19%

X-X

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

11.3%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.4%

0-0

8.1%

0-1

7.1%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

5.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.6%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Málaga – Real Sociedad prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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