Levante vs Athletic Club 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Levante won with fewer chances than Athletic Club
Levante3–1
Athletic ClubOn these chances Levante would usually take 0.9 points and Athletic Club 1.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Athletic Club.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Levante vs Athletic Club stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Levante had clearly more shots on target
Levante
Athletic Club
7
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
1
3
Corners
9
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
38%
Possession
62%
Levante vs Athletic Club — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,554 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Levante 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Levante vs Athletic Club 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Levante vs Athletic Club. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Levante3
Athletic Club1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Levante3Athletic Club1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
X-X
16%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Levante vs Athletic Club — Recent Form
Athletic Club have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Levante have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Athletic ClubLevanteOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LevanteAthletic ClubBoth Teams to Score
LevanteAthletic ClubOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LevanteAthletic ClubOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LevanteAthletic ClubFirst Half Result
LevanteAthletic ClubCorrect Score
LevanteAthletic Club