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Salford City vs Exeter City

Salford City vs Exeter City 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Fair result

Salford City

2–1

Exeter City

0.8Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Salford City would usually take 1.0 points and Exeter City 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Salford City.

Salford City +2.0 pts vs chancesExeter City −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Salford City vs Exeter City stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Salford City

Exeter City

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Salford City and Exeter City ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Salford City win with 63% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Exeter City – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Salford City vs Exeter City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City to win

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Salford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Exeter City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Exeter City 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Salford City vs Exeter City 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Salford City vs Exeter City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Salford City2

Exeter City1

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

League Two - England

Salford City2

Exeter City1

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

163%

X21%

215%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	16%	84%	44%	56%	71%	29%	88%	12%
	51%	49%	82%	18%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	44%	56%
	51%	49%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	71%	29%	88%	12%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

145%

X41%

214%

1st Score

167%

X7%

226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

20%

X-X

14%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.1%

2-0

11.8%

2-1

10.3%

1-1

10.2%

3-0

7.3%

0-0

6.7%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

5.3%

1-2

4.2%

2-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Salford City vs Exeter City — Recent Form

Salford City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Exeter City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Salford City

Exeter City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Salford City

5/5

Exeter City

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Salford City

3/5

Exeter City

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Salford City

4/5

Exeter City

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Salford City

4/5

Exeter City

5/5

First Half Result

Salford City

1/5

Exeter City

3/5

Correct Score

Salford City

0/5

Exeter City

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Exeter City – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).