Marítimo vs Casa Pia 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)
Marítimo vs Casa Pia — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 1 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44.6% implied
Marítimo50%1/2+12.1%Strongly above implied probability
Casa Pia100%1/1+124.2%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Marítimo50%1/2-8.1%Near implied probabilityCasa Pia100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.2% implied
Marítimo50%1/2-7.7%Near implied probabilityCasa Pia100%1/1+84.5%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.1% implied
Marítimo100%2/2+63.7%Strongly above implied probabilityCasa Pia100%1/1+63.7%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.7% implied
Marítimo100%2/2+158.4%Strongly above implied probabilityCasa Pia100%1/1+158.4%Strongly above implied probabilityMarítimo0/2Casa Pia0/1Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Marítimo and Casa Pia across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Marítimo hit at 100% accuracy — that's 158.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Marítimo sit 8.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Marítimo vs Casa Pia 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Marítimo vs Casa Pia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Marítimo1
Casa Pia0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Marítimo1Casa Pia0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
21%
X-1
19%
2-2
11%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Marítimo vs Casa Pia — Prediction Form & Streaks
Marítimo have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Casa Pia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
MarítimoCasa PiaMarítimoCasa PiaMarítimoCasa PiaMarítimoCasa PiaMarítimoCasa PiaMarítimoCasa PiaMarítimo & Casa Pia Teams in Best Form
MarítimoCasa Pia