Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Benfica vs Vitória SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Benfica to win
Our track record
In 136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,129 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,786 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.2%).
Our model’s pick
Benfica ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Our model’s pick
Benfica 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,447 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
Vitória SC 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.5% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Benfica vs Vitória SC — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Benfica vs Vitória SC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Benfica–
Vitória SC–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Benfica–Vitória SC–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11% | 89% | 33% | 67% |
 | 62% | 38% | 88% | 12% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 42% | 79% | 21% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
54%
X-1
21%
X-X
8%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.8%
3-2
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Benfica vs Vitória SC — Recent Form
Benfica have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Vitória SC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
BenficaVitória SCOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BenficaVitória SCBoth Teams to Score
BenficaVitória SCOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BenficaVitória SCOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BenficaVitória SCFirst Half Result
BenficaVitória SCCorrect Score
BenficaVitória SC