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Benfica vs Vitória SC 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Benfica2–0
Vitória SCOn these chances Benfica would usually take 2.5 points and Vitória SC 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Benfica.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Benfica vs Vitória SC stats: how the match was played
Liga Portugal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Benfica had more than twice the shots on target
Benfica
Vitória SC
5
Shots on target
0
5
Big chances
0
11
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
5
63%
Possession
37%
Benfica vs Vitória SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Benfica to win
CorrectOur track record
In 144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.7% of the time (bookmakers said 80.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Benfica ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Our model’s pick
Benfica 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Vitória SC 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Benfica vs Vitória SC 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Benfica vs Vitória SC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Benfica2
Vitória SC0Winner
1 76%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Benfica2Vitória SC0Winner
1 76%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 90% | 32% | 68% |
| 63% | 37% | 89% | 11% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 42% | 78% | 22% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
53%
X-1
22%
X-X
8%
2-X
4%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Benfica vs Vitória SC — Recent Form
Benfica have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Vitória SC have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
BenficaVitória SCOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BenficaVitória SCBoth Teams to Score
BenficaVitória SCOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BenficaVitória SCOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BenficaVitória SCFirst Half Result
BenficaVitória SCCorrect Score
BenficaVitória SC