1. Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy

Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
KarpatyKarpaty

3–0

LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
0.9Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Karpaty would usually take 1.5 points and LNZ Cherkasy 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Karpaty.

Karpaty +1.5 pts vs chancesLNZ Cherkasy −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Karpaty had more than twice the shots on target

Karpaty

LNZ Cherkasy

4

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

0

4

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

3

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Karpaty and LNZ Cherkasy ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Karpaty win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Karpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Karpaty to win

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Karpaty Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Karpaty 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

LNZ Cherkasy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

LNZ Cherkasy 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
KarpatyKarpaty3
LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy0

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

138%
X30%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Karpaty32%68%67%33%
LNZ Cherkasy36%64%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Karpaty88%12%96%4%
LNZ Cherkasy90%10%97%3%

1st Half

125%
X51%
224%

1st Score

145%
X11%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

1-0

12.1%

0-0

11.4%

0-1

10.3%

2-1

7.9%

2-0

6.8%

1-2

6.6%

0-2

5.6%

2-2

4.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Karpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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