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  4. Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Livyi Bereh

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Livyi Bereh 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi Rih

1–1

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
0.5Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would usually take 1.0 points and Livyi Bereh 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.0 pts vs chancesLivyi Bereh −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Livyi Bereh stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had more than twice the shots on target

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Livyi Bereh

1

Shots on target

0

0

Big chances

0

2

Corners

1

3

Yellow cards

3

1

Red cards

0

25%

Possession

75%

The match between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Livyi Bereh ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Livyi Bereh win at 56% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – Livyi Bereh prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Livyi Bereh — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livyi Bereh to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih to win.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livyi Bereh ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 22%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Livyi Bereh Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livyi Bereh 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Livyi Bereh 0–1 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Livyi Bereh 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Livyi Bereh. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Ukraine
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi Rih1
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh1

Winner

2 56%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

120%
X24%
256%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih45%55%77%23%
Livyi Bereh19%81%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih93%7%98%2%
Livyi Bereh73%27%88%12%

1st Half

118%
X39%
244%

1st Score

132%
X7%
261%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

38%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

1-1

10%

X-1

7%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

11.0%

1-1

10.6%

0-2

10.2%

1-2

9.1%

0-0

7.0%

1-0

5.9%

1-3

5.8%

0-3

5.7%

2-1

5.0%

2-2

5.0%

2-0

3.2%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – Livyi Bereh prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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