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Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Chornomorets

1–1

Obolon'-Brovar

1.4Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Chornomorets would usually take 1.9 points and Obolon'-Brovar 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Chornomorets.

Chornomorets −0.9 pts vs chancesObolon'-Brovar +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Chornomorets had more than twice the shots on target

Chornomorets

Obolon'-Brovar

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Chornomorets and Obolon'-Brovar ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Chornomorets win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chornomorets – Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chornomorets to win

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Chornomorets Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chornomorets 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Obolon'-Brovar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Obolon'-Brovar 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Ukraine

Chornomorets1

Obolon'-Brovar1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT

Premier League - Ukraine

Chornomorets1

Obolon'-Brovar1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

154%

X28%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	33%	67%	58%	42%	69%	31%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	33%	67%	58%	42%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	69%	31%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%	80%	20%	92%	8%
	50%	50%	82%	18%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	50%	50%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	92%	8%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

139%

X45%

216%

1st Score

158%

X11%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

19%

X-X

19%

2-2

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

14.8%

1-1

12.2%

0-0

10.9%

2-0

10.7%

2-1

8.8%

0-1

7.1%

3-0

5.9%

1-2

4.7%

3-1

4.2%

2-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar — Recent Form

Chornomorets have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Obolon'-Brovar have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Chornomorets

Obolon'-Brovar

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Chornomorets

2/5

Obolon'-Brovar

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Chornomorets

3/5

Obolon'-Brovar

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Chornomorets

4/5

Obolon'-Brovar

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Chornomorets

5/5

Obolon'-Brovar

3/5

First Half Result

Chornomorets

3/5

Obolon'-Brovar

2/5

Correct Score

Chornomorets

1/5

Obolon'-Brovar

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chornomorets – Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).