Fast starters
8/10Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Bore draw alert
Fewer goals than usual expected in Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh
2.0goals expected · Premier League average 2.5
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 49%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.0 goals expected
2.0 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Premier League average is 2.5).
goals expected
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1.4
Livyi Bereh0.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win
Our model 37%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 6,406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 3,645 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 516 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 76 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 65–70%.
Livyi Bereh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Livyi Bereh 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 82%
Our track record
In 3,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv–
Livyi Bereh–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv–Livyi Bereh–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
137%
X27%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
127%
X45%
227%
1st Score
144%
X10%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
X-X
20%
1-1
19%
X-1
12%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: fast starters, always on the scoresheet and banker as favourites
8/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Metalist 1925 Kharkiv failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 35%).
Banker as favourites
6/8Metalist 1925 Kharkiv won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 54%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: good attack, good defence (1.61 xG, 0.68 xGA a game)
- Livyi Bereh: weak attack, good defence (0.86 xG, 0.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Metalist 1925 KharkivBookmakers: 66% to win today. · 9 of 10 games−1.9
- Livyi BerehBookmakers: 13% to win today. · 5 of 10 games−0.4
Last 5 matches
Metalist 1925 KharkivW
W
W
W
L
Livyi BerehL
W
L
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4th of 16 · Livyi Bereh 10th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredLivyi Bereh games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Premier League average (48%), Metalist 1925 Kharkiv games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv5 of 10
Livyi Bereh1 of 7
BTTSleague 42%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4 of 10
Livyi Bereh3 of 7
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 235 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameLivyi Bereh: last 7 with these statsGoal times close to the Premier League average
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
5.7
Corners won · league 4.7
3.9
3.8
Corners conceded · league 4.7
6.1
1.6
Cards · league 2.0
1.0
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.7
50%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
20%
11%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
20%
25%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
67%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
0%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv5/5
Livyi Bereh1/5
Both Teams to Score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1/5
Livyi Bereh4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1/5
Livyi Bereh3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4/5
Livyi Bereh4/5
First Half Result
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1/5
Livyi Bereh2/5
Correct Score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0/5
Livyi Bereh1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction