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Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result
Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua

0–3

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
2.1Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances Shanghai Shenhua would usually take 1.4 points and Beijing Guoan 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Shanghai Shenhua.

Shanghai Shenhua −1.4 pts vs chancesBeijing Guoan +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Shanghai Shenhua

Beijing Guoan

8

Shots on target

8

2

Big chances

7

8

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

4

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Shanghai Shenhua and Beijing Guoan ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Shanghai Shenhua win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Beijing Guoan – Qingdao Youth Island prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 37%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Shanghai Shenhua Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Shanghai Shenhua 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Beijing Guoan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Beijing Guoan 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua0
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan3

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

146%
X26%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Shanghai Shenhua21%79%51%49%
Beijing Guoan35%65%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Shanghai Shenhua76%24%90%10%
Beijing Guoan86%14%96%4%

1st Half

137%
X36%
227%

1st Score

154%
X6%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

7.0%

2-0

6.9%

2-2

6.5%

0-1

6.1%

0-0

5.8%

3-1

4.8%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Beijing Guoan – Qingdao Youth Island prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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