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Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
Shandong TaishanShandong Taishan

1–2

Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
1.7Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Shandong Taishan would usually take 1.8 points and Henan Songshan Longmen 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Shandong Taishan.

Shandong Taishan −1.8 pts vs chancesHenan Songshan Longmen +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shandong Taishan had more than twice the shots on target

Shandong Taishan

Henan Songshan Longmen

8

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

1

3

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

3

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Shandong Taishan and Henan Songshan Longmen ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Shandong Taishan win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Henan Songshan Longmen – Beijing Guoan prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan to win

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Shandong Taishan ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Shandong Taishan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 75%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Shandong TaishanShandong Taishan1
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen2

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

157%
X23%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Shandong Taishan17%83%45%55%
Henan Songshan Longmen43%57%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Shandong Taishan71%29%87%13%
Henan Songshan Longmen92%8%98%2%

1st Half

140%
X40%
220%

1st Score

159%
X6%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.4%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

9.3%

3-1

6.1%

0-0

5.7%

3-0

5.7%

0-1

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

1-2

5.3%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Henan Songshan Longmen – Beijing Guoan prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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