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Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu

Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 23)

Fair result

Shandong Taishan

3–1

Qingdao Hainiu

2.7Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Shandong Taishan would usually take 2.0 points and Qingdao Hainiu 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Shandong Taishan.

Shandong Taishan +1.0 pts vs chancesQingdao Hainiu −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shandong Taishan had clearly more shots on target

Shandong Taishan

Qingdao Hainiu

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Shandong Taishan and Qingdao Hainiu ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Shandong Taishan win with 69% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC – Qingdao Hainiu prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan to win

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Shandong Taishan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Qingdao Hainiu Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Qingdao Hainiu 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - China

Shandong Taishan3

Qingdao Hainiu1

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

· FT

Super League - China

Shandong Taishan3

Qingdao Hainiu1

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

Full Time

169%

X18%

213%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%	50%	50%	72%	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	50%	50%	72%	28%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	12%	88%	35%	65%	60%	40%	79%	21%
	55%	45%	82%	18%	95%	5%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	35%	65%
	55%	45%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	60%	40%	79%	21%
	95%	5%	98%	2%

1st Half

146%

X38%

216%

1st Score

168%

X5%

226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

45%

X-1

20%

X-X

2-2

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.7%

2-0

10.5%

2-1

9.3%

3-0

7.7%

1-1

7.6%

3-1

6.8%

0-0

5.2%

2-2

3.9%

1-2

3.6%

0-1

3.4%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC – Qingdao Hainiu prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).