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Liaoning Tieren FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen 4-4 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 24)

Fair result
Liaoning Tieren FCLiaoning Tieren FC

4–4

Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
2.0Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Liaoning Tieren FC would usually take 1.3 points and Henan Songshan Longmen 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Henan Songshan Longmen.

Liaoning Tieren FC −0.3 pts vs chancesHenan Songshan Longmen −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Henan Songshan Longmen had clearly more shots on target

Liaoning Tieren FC

Henan Songshan Longmen

5

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

8

8

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

3

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Henan Songshan Longmen ended 4-4. Our AI model predicted an Henan Songshan Longmen win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liaoning Tieren FC – Hangzhou prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Liaoning Tieren FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen 4-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Liaoning Tieren FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Liaoning Tieren FCLiaoning Tieren FC4
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen4

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

137%
X24%
239%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Liaoning Tieren FC27%73%57%43%
Henan Songshan Longmen26%74%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Liaoning Tieren FC79%21%91%9%
Henan Songshan Longmen78%22%91%9%

1st Half

129%
X43%
228%

1st Score

149%
X5%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

19%

X-X

15%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.1%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.9%

0-1

6.5%

2-2

6.5%

1-0

6.2%

0-2

5.1%

2-0

4.7%

0-0

4.5%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

4.1%

2-3

3.7%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liaoning Tieren FC – Hangzhou prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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