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Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Peng City

Shandong Taishan vs Sichuan 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 26)

Robbed

Sichuan drew despite more chances

Shandong Taishan

1–1

Sichuan

0.8Chances (xG)2.6

On these chances Shandong Taishan would usually take 0.4 points and Sichuan 2.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Shandong Taishan.

Shandong Taishan +0.6 pts vs chancesSichuan −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Shandong Taishan vs Sichuan stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sichuan had more than twice the shots on target

Shandong Taishan

Sichuan

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

39%

Possession

62%

The match between Shandong Taishan and Sichuan ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Shandong Taishan win at 62% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sichuan – Shanghai Shenhua prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Shandong Taishan vs Sichuan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan to win

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Shandong Taishan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shandong Taishan 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Sichuan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sichuan 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shandong Taishan vs Sichuan 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shandong Taishan vs Sichuan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - China

Shandong Taishan1

Sichuan1

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

· FT

Super League - China

Shandong Taishan1

Sichuan1

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

162%

X20%

218%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	16%	84%	36%	64%	47%	53%	71%	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	16%	84%	36%	64%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	47%	53%	71%	29%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%	63%	37%	81%	19%
	45%	55%	75%	25%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%
	45%	55%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	63%	37%	81%	19%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

147%

X35%

218%

1st Score

167%

X4%

229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

19%

X-X

10%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

9.8%

1-1

8.9%

2-0

8.5%

1-0

8.3%

3-1

7.1%

3-0

6.1%

2-2

5.3%

1-2

4.9%

0-0

4.0%

0-1

3.9%

3-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sichuan – Shanghai Shenhua prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).