Home
Leagues
3. Liga
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2–2

Verl

1.7Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Fortuna Düsseldorf would usually take 1.4 points and Verl 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Fortuna Düsseldorf −0.4 pts vs chancesVerl −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl stats: how the match was played

3. Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Verl

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Fortuna Düsseldorf win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fortuna Düsseldorf – Meppen prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Düsseldorf to win

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Fortuna Düsseldorf ahead at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,205 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Verl Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Verl 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Fortuna Düsseldorf2

Verl2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Fortuna Düsseldorf2

Verl2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

151%

X22%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%	45%	55%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	44%	57%	69%	31%	85%	15%
	36%	64%	64%	36%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	44%	57%
	36%	64%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	85%	15%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

136%

X37%

227%

1st Score

152%

X4%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

19%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

9.2%

1-1

8.6%

1-0

6.6%

2-0

6.5%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

6.4%

3-1

5.6%

3-0

4.7%

0-1

4.6%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

4.1%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl — Recent Form

Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Verl have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Verl

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2/5

Verl

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4/5

Verl

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3/5

Verl

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3/5

Verl

2/5

First Half Result

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4/5

Verl

2/5

Correct Score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1/5

Verl

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fortuna Düsseldorf – Meppen prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).