1. Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach

Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result
Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln

2–2

Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
1.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Viktoria Köln would usually take 1.8 points and Sonnenhof Großaspach 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Viktoria Köln.

Viktoria Köln −0.8 pts vs chancesSonnenhof Großaspach 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach stats: how the match was played

3. Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Viktoria Köln

Sonnenhof Großaspach

7

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

0

7

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

4

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Viktoria Köln and Sonnenhof Großaspach ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Sonnenhof Großaspach win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hoffenheim II – Viktoria Köln prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sonnenhof Großaspach to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Viktoria Köln to win.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 15%

Our track record

In 373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Viktoria Köln ahead at half-time.

Our model 35%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,205 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time (bookmakers said 35.0%).

Viktoria Köln Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Köln 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Viktoria Köln 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,017 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.

Sonnenhof Großaspach Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sonnenhof Großaspach 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sonnenhof Großaspach 0–1 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 845 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln2
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach2

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

133%
X21%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT14%86%31%69%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT43%57%68%32%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Viktoria Köln32%68%58%42%
Sonnenhof Großaspach22%78%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Viktoria Köln80%20%92%8%
Sonnenhof Großaspach70%30%86%14%

1st Half

131%
X35%
233%

1st Score

145%
X3%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

22%

X-X

12%

X-2

12%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

8.4%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.0%

2-2

6.3%

0-1

5.7%

1-3

5.0%

1-0

4.8%

0-2

4.8%

2-3

4.4%

0-3

4.3%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

3.8%

2-0

3.7%

0-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Viktoria Köln vs Sonnenhof Großaspach — Recent Form

Viktoria Köln have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Sonnenhof Großaspach have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
W
D
D
W
W
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
L
W
D
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
2/5
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
4/5
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
4/5
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
2/5
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
1/5

First Half Result

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
0/5
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
0/5

Correct Score

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
1/5
Sonnenhof GroßaspachSonnenhof Großaspach
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hoffenheim II – Viktoria Köln prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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