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Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Wehen Wiesbaden

3–0

Alemannia Aachen

1.9Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Wehen Wiesbaden would usually take 2.1 points and Alemannia Aachen 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Wehen Wiesbaden.

Wehen Wiesbaden +0.9 pts vs chancesAlemannia Aachen −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen stats: how the match was played

3. Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Wehen Wiesbaden had more than twice the shots on target

Wehen Wiesbaden

Alemannia Aachen

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

51%

The match between Wehen Wiesbaden and Alemannia Aachen ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an Alemannia Aachen win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Verl – Wehen Wiesbaden prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Alemannia Aachen to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wehen Wiesbaden to win.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 291 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Alemannia Aachen ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,205 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

Wehen Wiesbaden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wehen Wiesbaden 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Alemannia Aachen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Alemannia Aachen 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Alemannia Aachen 0–1 goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 371 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Wehen Wiesbaden3

Alemannia Aachen0

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Wehen Wiesbaden3

Alemannia Aachen0

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

Full Time

123%

X19%

258%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	32%	68%	44%	56%	68%	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	32%	68%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	44%	56%	68%	32%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	44%	56%	71%	29%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	16%	84%	38%	62%	62%	38%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	71%	29%
	16%	84%	38%	62%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	62%	38%	79%	21%

1st Half

125%

X35%

240%

1st Score

139%

X4%

257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

37%

X-2

17%

1-1

15%

X-X

11%

X-1

1-X

1-2

2-X

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

8.6%

1-1

7.7%

0-2

6.8%

0-1

6.5%

0-3

6.3%

1-3

6.3%

2-2

5.3%

2-1

5.3%

1-0

4.2%

0-0

3.9%

2-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen — Recent Form

Wehen Wiesbaden have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Alemannia Aachen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Wehen Wiesbaden

Alemannia Aachen

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Alemannia Aachen

1/5

Wehen Wiesbaden

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Alemannia Aachen

2/5

Wehen Wiesbaden

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Alemannia Aachen

3/5

Wehen Wiesbaden

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Alemannia Aachen

4/5

Wehen Wiesbaden

2/5

First Half Result

Alemannia Aachen

1/5

Wehen Wiesbaden

2/5

Correct Score

Alemannia Aachen

1/5

Wehen Wiesbaden

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Verl – Wehen Wiesbaden prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).